The Bureau of Meteorology is closely monitoring the development of another east coast low over south-east Queensland and north-east NSW later this week.
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But before you rush to the shops to stock up on bread and fuel, there’s only a 50 per cent chance it will reach as far south as the Hunter.
While the weather is likely to deteriorate along the east coast, there is disagreement between the three prediction models.
The Australian model has predicted that Taree and the North Coast will receive high rainfall, but less wind, than the Hunter’s super storm last week.
The American model has predicted the low pressure system will develop hundreds of kilometres off the coast, and the European model has ignored it entirely.
Bureau of Meteorology state director Barry Hanstrum said the rain would increase this week and peak between Thursday and Saturday.
“Further rainfall is likely for catchments that have already experienced flooding during last week’s severe weather event,” he said.
Weatherwatch director Don White said that the speculated 100mm of rain for Dungog would be extremely unlikely.
“It would only take 50mm and the Hunter Valley would be saturated again, but 30mm seems more likely at this stage considering how far north the system is predicted to develop,” he said.
“Even if it does develop, it’s not going to be like the last one.”